The Miami Marlins are 2-11 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 6-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Jesus Luzardo has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 31% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Marlins has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 54%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 68%. He has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Luzardo who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Trevor Williams who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 445 | Record at Home | 2-11, 15% -814 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 323 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-7, 22% -464 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 370 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-8, 0% -800 | Washington Nationals |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 3-1, 75% 369 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 1-4, 20% -272 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% 1627 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 242 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-11, 15% -736 | VS Washington Nationals | 11-2, 85% 480 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-63, 38% 512 | vs Team Under .500 | 46-28, 62% 879 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 36-45, 44% 1627 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-21, 56% -336 | Washington Nationals |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 13-16, 45% 391 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 20-14, 59% 480 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-3, 75% +958 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -152 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 47-34, 58% +2173 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +1583
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -246 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-8, 38% -370 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 44-37, 54% -1468 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +718
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Miami Marlins Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 34-29, 54% + 210 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-29, 57% + 710
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