April 29, 2024 1:11 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 4/29/2024

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The Baltimore Orioles are 10-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 11-5 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt. Grayson Rodriguez has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clarke Schmidt has a 37% chance of a QS. If Grayson Rodriguez has a quality start the Orioles has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 66%. In Clarke Schmidt quality starts the Yankees win 62%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Juan Soto who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-5, 69% 512Record at Home10-5, 67% 237New York Yankees
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-2, 67% 86vs Team .500 or Better11-4, 73% 418Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 360Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% -39New York Yankees
When Clarke Schmidt Starts5-0, 100% 356When Grayson Rodriguez Starts4-1, 80% 169New York Yankees

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-41, 49% -241Record at Home49-34, 59% 239Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles6-7, 46% -217VS New York Yankees7-6, 54% 85Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better47-46, 51% -148vs Team .500 or Better51-42, 55% 2759Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog21-23, 48% 268Record As Home Favorite36-24, 60% -166New York Yankees
When Clarke Schmidt Starts17-18, 49% -527When Grayson Rodriguez Starts13-9, 59% 279Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-5, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-5, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Grayson Rodriguez STARTS4-1, 80% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-10, 38% -603 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-10, 33% -498 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 41-40, 51% +762 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 52-31, 63% +1072

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-9, 44% -308 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-5, 67% +237 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 44-37, 54% -126 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 50-33, 60% +444

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-9, 36% -490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 38-36, 51% -160 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140

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