The New York Mets are 12-1 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. David Peterson has a 41% chance of a QS and Eduardo Rodriguez a 40% chance. If David Peterson has a quality start the Mets has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 57%. If Eduardo Rodriguez has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% 90 | Record at Home | 12-1, 92% 759 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -159 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-3, 67% 259 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-1, 75% 225 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-1, 91% 543 | New York Mets |
| When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts | 2-3, 40% -150 | When David Peterson Starts | 4-1, 80% 185 | New York Mets |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-36, 56% 937 | Record at Home | 49-37, 57% 226 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS New York Mets | 3-4, 43% -120 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 4-3, 57% 84 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 52-54, 49% -197 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-56, 50% 369 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-25, 53% 803 | Record As Home Favorite | 34-21, 62% 260 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts | 6-6, 50% -144 | When David Peterson Starts | 16-5, 76% 871 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-9, 31% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Eduardo Rodriguez STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 9-3, 75% +287 New York Mets Home Games: 4-9, 31% -609 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-50, 38% -2732 New York Mets Home Games: 48-38, 56% +238
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-5, 58% +73 New York Mets Home Games: 4-9, 31% -711 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 44-37, 54% -447 New York Mets Home Games: 52-34, 60% +575
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 New York Mets Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 37-38, 49% -480 New York Mets Home Games: 47-35, 57% + 850
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