The Atlanta Braves are 5-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 3-10 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter AJ Smith-Shawver is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter German Marquez. AJ Smith-Shawver has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while German Marquez has a 23% chance of a QS. If AJ Smith-Shawver has a quality start the Braves has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 62%. In German Marquez quality starts the Rockies win 69%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Sean Bouchard who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 43% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 3.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 74% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-12, 29% -761 | Record at Home | 3-10, 23% -706 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 1-0, 100% 57 | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-1, 0% -100 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-4, 67% 91 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-16, 11% -1341 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-6, 33% -381 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-9, 18% -695 | Atlanta Braves |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 1-2, 33% -80 | When German Marquez Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-40, 52% -865 | Record at Home | 37-44, 46% 684 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 3-3, 50% -190 | VS Atlanta Braves | 3-3, 50% 212 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 33-29, 53% -1274 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-73, 38% -49 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 35-27, 56% -362 | Record as Home Underdog | 36-41, 47% 903 | Colorado Rockies |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 1-0, 100% 85 | When German Marquez Starts | 1-0, 100% 165 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN AJ Smith-Shawver STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN German Marquez STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-12, 29% -756 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-4, 69% +253 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 39-44, 47% -899 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 43-38, 53% +891
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 7-10, 41% -453 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-4, 69% +253 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 50-33, 60% +487 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1229
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-11, 31% -710 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 33-41, 45% -1210 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 40-38, 51% -180
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