The Toronto Blue Jays are 8-5 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 8-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Bowden Francis has a 42% chance of a QS and Garrett Crochet a 43% chance. If Bowden Francis has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 56%. If Garrett Crochet has a quality start the Red Sox has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Tyler Heineman who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Kristian Campbell who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-7, 53% 35 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 187 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-3, 25% -211 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-1, 75% 280 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-7, 59% -43 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -515 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-3, 50% -95 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-3, 50% 31 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 4-3, 57% -64 | When Bowden Francis Starts | 2-4, 33% -255 | Boston Red Sox |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 595 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -1183 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 8-5, 62% 225 | VS Boston Red Sox | 5-8, 38% -263 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 42-24, 64% 1043 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-24, 55% -378 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-10, 60% 77 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-15, 38% -559 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 8-24, 25% -1301 | When Bowden Francis Starts | 6-7, 46% -53 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-6, 54% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS | 0-7, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bowden Francis STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-10, 33% -784 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-6, 54% -11 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -671 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -366
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-8, 47% -267 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-5, 62% +133 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -852 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1448
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-11, 21% -910 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-8, 38% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 35-40, 47% -900
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