The Pittsburgh Pirates are 6-7 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 8-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Andrew Heaney has a 40% chance of a QS and Shota Imanaga a 41% chance. If Andrew Heaney has a quality start the Pirates has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 54%. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Matt Gorski who averaged 4.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 376 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -144 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 0-0 No Games | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-12, 20% -790 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-0, 100% 213 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-3, 50% 53 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Shota Imanaga Starts | 4-2, 67% 143 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 3-2, 60% 148 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -123 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -666 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 7-6, 54% 10 | VS Chicago Cubs | 6-7, 46% -92 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 37-28, 57% -149 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-65, 41% -1476 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-13, 54% -159 | Record as Home Underdog | 17-18, 49% 144 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Shota Imanaga Starts | 23-7, 77% 1109 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 13-17, 43% -557 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Heaney STARTS | 0-4, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-8, 38% -394 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +398 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-40, 51% +177 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -376
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-6, 54% -80 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +152 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 44-37, 54% -174 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1340
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-25, 62% + 1350 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-34, 48% -540
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
