The Houston Astros are 10-6 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 5-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Ryan Gusto is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Reese Olson. Ryan Gusto has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Reese Olson has a 40% chance of a QS. If Ryan Gusto has a quality start the Astros has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 57%. In Reese Olson quality starts the Tigers win 68%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -278 | Record at Home | 10-6, 62% 212 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Detroit Tigers | 1-0, 100% 87 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -104 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -188 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -137 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% 107 | Houston Astros |
| When Reese Olson Starts | 4-1, 80% 168 | When Ryan Gusto Starts | 2-1, 67% 52 | Detroit Tigers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 46-40, 53% 740 | Record at Home | 46-37, 55% -776 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Houston Astros | 4-4, 50% 73 | VS Detroit Tigers | 4-4, 50% -72 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 52-55, 49% 64 | vs Team .500 or Better | 42-47, 47% -968 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 29-29, 50% 601 | Record As Home Favorite | 42-32, 57% -730 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Reese Olson Starts | 9-15, 38% -623 | When Ryan Gusto Starts | 0-0 No Games | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-10, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Reese Olson STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Gusto STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +129 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-7, 56% +44 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 42-44, 49% -213 Houston Astros Home Games: 36-47, 43% -1364
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +64 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-7, 56% +44 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-38, 56% -324 Houston Astros Home Games: 47-36, 57% -622
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 9-4, 69% + 460 Houston Astros Home Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 30-48, 38% -2280 Houston Astros Home Games: 44-36, 55% + 440
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