The Tampa Bay Rays are 9-10 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 3-10 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Taj Bradley is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Lorenzen. Taj Bradley has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Lorenzen has a 39% chance of a QS. If Taj Bradley has a quality start the Rays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 72%. In Michael Lorenzen quality starts the Royals win 58%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Kameron Misner who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 46% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-10, 23% -658 | Record at Home | 9-10, 47% -379 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -559 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -167 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-7, 22% -435 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-7, 53% -184 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 1-3, 25% -217 | When Taj Bradley Starts | 3-2, 60% 55 | Tampa Bay Rays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 44-41, 52% 269 | Record at Home | 42-39, 52% -460 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-3, 50% -24 | VS Kansas City Royals | 3-3, 50% -32 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 41-19, 68% 1084 | vs Team .500 or Better | 49-58, 46% -746 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 27-31, 47% 116 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-20, 58% 22 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 10-14, 42% -450 | When Taj Bradley Starts | 12-13, 48% -94 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-8, 27% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-9, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-7, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Taj Bradley STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-5, 62% +300 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-7, 63% +356 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 35-50, 41% -1723 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1127
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 10-3, 77% +459 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 11-8, 58% +19 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 45-40, 53% -891 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -697
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-8, 47% -180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 42-32, 57% + 680 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 39-35, 53% + 50
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