The Los Angeles Dodgers are 13-3 at home this season and the Miami Marlins are 4-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers starter Matt Sauer. Sandy Alcantara has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Sauer has a 28% chance of a QS. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 47%. In Matt Sauer quality starts the Dodgers win 80%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 80% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Agustin Ramirez who averaged 3.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% 85 | Record at Home | 13-3, 81% 242 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 35 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-13, 32% -264 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-7, 56% -150 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% 85 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-3, 81% 242 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 3-2, 60% 131 | When Matt Sauer Starts | 0-0 No Games | Miami Marlins |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-49, 40% 99 | Record at Home | 58-31, 65% 289 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-5, 17% -335 | VS Miami Marlins | 5-1, 83% 100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 45-64, 41% 413 | vs Team Under .500 | 38-19, 67% 55 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 31-48, 39% 120 | Record As Home Favorite | 57-31, 65% 175 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Matt Sauer Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-3, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-3, 75% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matt Sauer STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-6, 50% +299 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-9, 44% -295 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 47-34, 58% +2489 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 46-43, 52% -209
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-5, 58% -214 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 12-4, 75% +77 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 49-32, 60% -370 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 53-36, 60% -567
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 39-33, 54% + 270 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 37-41, 47% -810
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