April 29, 2025 11:34 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox 4/29/2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 5-11 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 3-9 at home. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Tyler Gilbert. Freddy Peralta has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Gilbert has a 40% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 68%. In Tyler Gilbert quality starts the White Sox win 57%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Andrew Benintendi who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 78% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-11, 31% -633Record at Home3-9, 25% -479Chicago White Sox
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-4, 56% 11vs Team .500 or Better4-15, 21% -809Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 36Record as Home Underdog3-9, 25% -479Milwaukee Brewers
When Freddy Peralta Starts2-4, 33% -252When Tyler Gilbert Starts0-0 No GamesChicago White Sox

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road46-35, 57% 1039Record at Home23-58, 28% -2562Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago White Sox3-0, 100% 158VS Milwaukee Brewers0-3, 0% -300Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50037-26, 59% 112vs Team .500 or Better24-92, 21% -5070Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite20-18, 53% -263Record as Home Underdog19-56, 25% -2699Milwaukee Brewers
When Freddy Peralta Starts20-15, 57% 100When Tyler Gilbert Starts0-0 No GamesMilwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-8, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-5, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-48, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS1-5, 17% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Gilbert STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-6, 62% +1 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 2-10, 17% -786 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-44, 46% -938 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 33-48, 41% -1459

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 12-4, 75% +425 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-5, 58% -97 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1422 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 59-22, 73% +1310

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 31-39, 44% -1190 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 46-33, 58% + 970

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