The Cleveland Guardians are 7-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 5-9 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Tanner Bibee is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Chris Paddack. Tanner Bibee has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Paddack has a 28% chance of a QS. If Tanner Bibee has a quality start the Guardians has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 68%. In Chris Paddack quality starts the Twins win 65%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -537 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% -40 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 105 | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-1, 0% -100 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% -50 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-6, 25% -413 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -402 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 60 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Chris Paddack Starts | 1-4, 20% -348 | When Tanner Bibee Starts | 3-2, 60% 50 | Cleveland Guardians |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -986 | Record at Home | 54-32, 63% 952 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 3-10, 23% -727 | VS Minnesota Twins | 10-3, 77% 691 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 40-61, 40% -2596 | vs Team .500 or Better | 57-53, 52% 134 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-21, 42% -583 | Record As Home Favorite | 42-24, 64% 562 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Chris Paddack Starts | 11-6, 65% 293 | When Tanner Bibee Starts | 23-11, 68% 796 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 9-5, 64% +252 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-7, 42% -330 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 34-47, 42% -2351 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 46-40, 53% -113
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 12-2, 86% +717 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-5, 58% -32 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 42-39, 52% -657 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 49-37, 57% +25
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 43-32, 57% + 780 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 39-40, 49% -500
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