April 29, 2025 11:34 AM EST

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 4/29/2025

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The Baltimore Orioles are 6-6 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Gibson has a 42% chance of a QS and Carlos Rodon a 39% chance. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 52%. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -210Record at Home6-6, 50% -75Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-1, 0% -100VS New York Yankees1-0, 100% 110Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50010-3, 77% 306vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -345New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite6-4, 60% -3Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 115Baltimore Orioles
When Carlos Rodon Starts3-3, 50% -82When Kyle Gibson Starts0-0 No GamesBaltimore Orioles

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road53-35, 60% 818Record at Home45-38, 54% -646New York Yankees
VS Baltimore Orioles5-8, 38% -341VS New York Yankees8-5, 62% 412Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better65-45, 59% 599vs Team .500 or Better48-48, 50% -657New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite37-27, 58% -151Record as Home Underdog8-3, 73% 607Baltimore Orioles
When Carlos Rodon Starts21-16, 57% -230When Kyle Gibson Starts12-16, 43% -435New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-7, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-3, 73% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS1-5, 17% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Gibson STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-7, 50% +35 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-3, 75% +706 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-48, 45% -2098 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 38-45, 46% -1091

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 9-5, 64% +180 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-6, 50% -5 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 43-45, 49% -1283 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 44-39, 53% -841

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-42, 47% -920 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1440

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