April 29, 2025 11:34 AM EST

San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres 4/29/2025

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The San Diego Padres are 12-4 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 10-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Logan Webb is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Nick Pivetta. Logan Webb has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 50% chance of a QS. If Logan Webb has a quality start the Giants has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 58%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Padres win 64%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Mike Yastrzemski who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Francisco GiantsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-6, 62% 406Record at Home12-4, 75% 462San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better15-7, 68% 681vs Team .500 or Better10-11, 48% -286San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 40Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 125San Diego Padres
When Logan Webb Starts4-2, 67% 141When Nick Pivetta Starts4-1, 80% 211San Diego Padres

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Francisco GiantsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-43, 47% -337Record at Home48-37, 56% -260San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres6-7, 46% -15VS San Francisco Giants7-6, 54% -70San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better47-58, 45% -963vs Team .500 or Better60-54, 53% 299San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite14-11, 56% -75Record as Home Underdog9-8, 53% 148San Diego Padres
When Logan Webb Starts16-18, 47% -356When Nick Pivetta Starts17-14, 55% 159San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-3, 81% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-11, 31% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS12-2, 86% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS2-3, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 4-12, 25% -734 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-11, 31% -675 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 40-41, 49% +466 San Diego Padres Home Games: 42-43, 49% -404

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 4-12, 25% -916 San Diego Padres Home Games: 9-7, 56% -118 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 42-39, 52% -723 San Diego Padres Home Games: 47-38, 55% -343

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 San Diego Padres Home Games: 10-4, 71% + 560 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 45-28, 62% + 1420 San Diego Padres Home Games: 41-33, 55% + 470

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