The Cincinnati Reds are 7-6 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 2-12 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Brady Singer is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Brady Singer has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 27% chance of a QS. If Brady Singer has a quality start the Reds has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 71%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 64%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 49% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-12, 14% -962 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -53 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 82 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-10, 29% -546 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -195 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-10, 17% -762 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 56 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 1-5, 17% -395 | When Brady Singer Starts | 4-1, 80% 257 | Cincinnati Reds |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -161 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -608 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 6-7, 46% -196 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 7-6, 54% 150 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-30, 53% -317 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-63, 43% -532 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-32, 47% 23 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-24, 47% -865 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 18-15, 55% 482 | When Brady Singer Starts | 16-19, 46% -652 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brady Singer STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +312 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-5, 62% +117 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 34-47, 42% -1685 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 39-42, 48% -593
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 10-4, 71% +340 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-5, 62% +117 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 38-43, 47% -1441 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 43-38, 53% -250
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-37, 49% -470 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 35-29, 55% + 310
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