The Philadelphia Phillies are 9-4 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 4-9 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore. Zack Wheeler has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while MacKenzie Gore has a 35% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 72%. In MacKenzie Gore quality starts the Nationals win 53%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 44% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -534 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 139 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -64 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 24 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-6, 54% 388 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -185 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -388 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-4, 64% -85 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-4, 33% -176 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 3-3, 50% -161 | Philadelphia Phillies |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-48, 41% -280 | Record at Home | 56-27, 67% 580 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 4-9, 31% -292 | VS Washington Nationals | 9-4, 69% 39 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 41-71, 37% -1152 | vs Team Under .500 | 41-24, 63% -141 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 29-46, 39% -391 | Record As Home Favorite | 53-25, 68% 461 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 15-18, 45% -138 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 20-13, 61% -154 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-5, 62% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-6, 54% -72 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-5, 62% -10 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 56-25, 69% +3546 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 50-33, 60% +355
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +311 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-4, 69% +139 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 52-29, 64% +451 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 55-28, 66% +368
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-9, 18% -790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-37, 51% -270 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 38-36, 51% -160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
