The Atlanta Braves are 6-14 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 8-12 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Andrew Heaney has a 39% chance of a QS and AJ Smith-Shawver a 42% chance. If Andrew Heaney has a quality start the Pirates has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 47%. If AJ Smith-Shawver has a quality start the Braves has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 61%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 50% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-14, 30% -912 | Record at Home | 8-12, 40% -375 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-0, 100% 124 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-8, 50% -287 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-16, 24% -922 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-8, 33% -532 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-6, 45% 22 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 3-2, 60% 37 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 3-4, 43% -52 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -212 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -428 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-0, 100% 124 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-6, 40% -289 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-16, 16% -1151 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-6, 40% -332 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-4, 33% -131 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 3-0, 100% 237 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 2-3, 40% -102 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-10, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-9, 53% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN AJ Smith-Shawver STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Heaney STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-15, 25% -1056 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-11, 45% -57 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-8, 38% -356 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-9, 36% -324
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 8-12, 40% -604 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-12, 40% -548 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-7, 46% -189 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-10, 29% -668
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 8-11, 42% -410 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-8, 56% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460
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