The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 8-13 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Erick Fedde. Jesus Luzardo has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Erick Fedde has a 27% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 71%. In Erick Fedde quality starts the Cardinals win 54%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 43% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-13, 38% -389 | Record at Home | 13-7, 65% 79 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-1, 75% 324 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-3, 25% -243 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-12, 48% 62 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-14, 46% -430 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-11, 35% -365 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-7, 61% -145 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Erick Fedde Starts | 4-5, 44% -47 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 6-2, 75% 251 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% -3 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -159 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 154 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -113 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -370 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-8, 38% -179 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-6, 57% -159 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Erick Fedde Starts | 3-3, 50% 48 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 4-1, 80% 179 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-8, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-4, 71% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Erick Fedde STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 5-3, 62% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 11-10, 52% -106 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-8, 60% -70 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-10, 33% -653 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-7, 50% -308
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 12-9, 57% +9 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 13-7, 65% +79 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-8, 47% -324 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-6, 57% -159
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-13, 24% -1030 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-11, 15% -1010
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