The Atlanta Braves are 14-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 8-14 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter AJ Smith-Shawver is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. AJ Smith-Shawver has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 19% chance of a QS. If AJ Smith-Shawver has a quality start the Braves has a 91% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 76%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 59%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Matt Olson who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 35% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-14, 36% -487 | Record at Home | 14-7, 67% 197 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -58 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 0 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-10, 47% 2 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-8, 56% -207 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-11, 35% -341 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-6, 68% 177 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 3-5, 38% -66 | When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 4-2, 67% 102 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% 33 | Record at Home | 11-5, 69% 189 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -58 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 0 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -437 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-7, 53% -268 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-7, 46% 59 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-4, 71% 169 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 2-3, 40% -26 | When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 3-0, 100% 182 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-13, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-12, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-9, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN AJ Smith-Shawver STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 12-10, 55% -136 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-10, 52% -212 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-7, 53% -132 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-8, 50% -220
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 14-8, 64% +160 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 14-7, 67% +165 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-7, 53% -165 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-5, 69% +157
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-12, 43% -420 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-14, 30% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-11, 27% -810
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