The Atlanta Braves are 16-10 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 12-17 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Walker Buehler. Spencer Schwellenbach has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Walker Buehler has a 34% chance of a QS. If Spencer Schwellenbach has a quality start the Braves has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 71%. In Walker Buehler quality starts the Red Sox win 59%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-17, 41% -539 | Record at Home | 16-10, 62% 48 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 2-2, 50% 25 | VS Boston Red Sox | 2-2, 50% -32 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-12, 52% -261 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-20, 43% -841 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-8, 50% 82 | Record As Home Favorite | 14-9, 61% -77 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Walker Buehler Starts | 5-3, 62% 121 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 6-4, 60% -58 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -448 | Record at Home | 8-7, 53% -168 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 2-2, 50% 25 | VS Boston Red Sox | 2-2, 50% -32 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% 21 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-9, 40% -436 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% -48 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-6, 50% -293 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Walker Buehler Starts | 1-2, 33% -90 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 3-1, 75% 69 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-14, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-16, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-11, 21% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Schwellenbach STARTS | 7-3, 70% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 14-15, 48% -433 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 14-12, 54% -121 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-4, 64% +260 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-9, 40% -409
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 15-14, 52% -142 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 16-10, 62% +16 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-5, 55% +34 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-7, 53% -200
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 12-14, 46% -340 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-17, 29% -1170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-10, 23% -800
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
