The Kansas City Royals are 18-12 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 16-12 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Wacha. Tarik Skubal has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Wacha has a 51% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 56%. In Michael Wacha quality starts the Royals win 68%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-12, 57% 145 | Record at Home | 18-12, 60% 107 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 4-1, 80% 244 | VS Detroit Tigers | 1-4, 20% -230 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-17, 56% 254 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-24, 43% -431 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-4, 69% 185 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-2, 71% 296 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Tarik Skubal Starts | 8-3, 73% 92 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 6-5, 55% 99 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-3, 77% 421 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -251 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-0, 100% 82 | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-6, 67% 304 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -99 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-2, 80% 326 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 91 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Tarik Skubal Starts | 5-0, 100% 224 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 3-2, 60% 30 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-10, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-18, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 17-11, 61% +43 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 19-11, 63% +550 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-6, 54% -270 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-4, 71% +498
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 17-11, 61% +65 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 21-9, 70% +671 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +19 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 11-3, 79% +551
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 17-9, 65% + 710 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 21-9, 70% + 1110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 9-5, 64% + 350
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