The Philadelphia Phillies are 19-10 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 12-18 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Chad Patrick. Jesus Luzardo has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chad Patrick has a 34% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 73%. In Chad Patrick quality starts the Brewers win 50%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 50% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 44% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-18, 40% -729 | Record at Home | 19-10, 66% 153 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 110 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-20, 44% -522 | vs Team .500 or Better | 13-13, 50% -318 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-14, 30% -719 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-10, 60% -257 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Chad Patrick Starts | 3-6, 33% -265 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 8-3, 73% 240 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -199 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -81 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 110 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -220 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% -90 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% -50 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-6, 50% -267 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Chad Patrick Starts | 3-3, 50% 35 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 4-1, 80% 119 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-16, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-14, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chad Patrick STARTS | 1-7, 12% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 6-5, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 19-11, 63% +318 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 18-11, 62% +4 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 8-4, 67% +417 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-6, 57% -81
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-9, 70% +639 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 19-10, 66% +153 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-5, 58% +111 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-6, 57% -81
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 16-10, 62% + 500 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-17, 32% -1070 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
