The San Diego Padres are 19-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 8-21 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Dylan Cease is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Bailey Falter. Dylan Cease has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bailey Falter has a 45% chance of a QS. If Dylan Cease has a quality start the Padres has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 59%. In Bailey Falter quality starts the Pirates win 61%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jackson Merrill who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-21, 28% -922 | Record at Home | 19-9, 68% 416 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-4, 0% -400 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-0, 100% 301 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-30, 27% -1634 | vs Team Under .500 | 21-5, 81% 1077 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-16, 27% -570 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-7, 70% 286 | San Diego Padres |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 5-6, 45% 117 | When Dylan Cease Starts | 6-4, 60% 15 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-10, 23% -450 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -221 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-4, 0% -400 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-0, 100% 301 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-15, 17% -1111 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-6, 62% 181 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-8, 27% -250 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -121 | San Diego Padres |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 3-2, 60% 258 | When Dylan Cease Starts | 2-2, 50% -86 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-18, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-17, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Dylan Cease STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 19-10, 66% +826 San Diego Padres Home Games: 9-19, 32% -883 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-4, 69% +391 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-6, 40% -8
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 20-9, 69% +364 San Diego Padres Home Games: 17-11, 61% +16 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-3, 77% +317 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-3, 70% +164
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 14-9, 61% + 410 San Diego Padres Home Games: 14-9, 61% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
