The Texas Rangers are 19-12 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 13-17 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Patrick Corbin has a 44% chance of a QS and Sonny Gray a 47% chance. If Patrick Corbin has a quality start the Rangers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 58%. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-17, 43% -240 | Record at Home | 19-12, 61% 149 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 110 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 14-11, 56% 194 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-20, 43% -707 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-4, 43% -139 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -287 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 8-2, 80% 479 | When Patrick Corbin Starts | 4-5, 44% -173 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 493 | Record at Home | 8-7, 53% -201 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 110 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-3, 73% 401 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -284 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% 61 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-3, 25% -190 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 3-1, 75% 151 | When Patrick Corbin Starts | 2-3, 40% -181 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-13, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-23, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-48, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 9-1, 90% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 18-12, 60% +471 Texas Rangers Home Games: 16-15, 52% -213 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +359 Texas Rangers Home Games: 7-8, 47% -267
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 18-12, 60% +261 Texas Rangers Home Games: 19-12, 61% +118 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-6, 57% +121 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-6, 60% -30
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-13, 41% -530 Texas Rangers Home Games: 15-10, 60% + 400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Texas Rangers Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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