The Houston Astros are 21-11 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 11-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Colton Gordon has a 37% chance of a QS and Zack Littell a 41% chance. If Colton Gordon has a quality start the Astros has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 53%. If Zack Littell has a quality start the Rays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-9, 55% 413 | Record at Home | 21-11, 66% 540 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 3-2, 60% 107 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-3, 40% -121 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-15, 55% 373 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% 29 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-7, 59% 545 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-10, 63% 201 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Zack Littell Starts | 6-5, 55% 169 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 0-0 No Games | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 227 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 346 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 3-2, 60% 107 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-3, 40% -121 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-10, 58% 455 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-6, 45% -201 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 359 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-4, 67% 112 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Zack Littell Starts | 5-0, 100% 571 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 0-0 No Games | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-12, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-17, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS | 2-8, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colton Gordon STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 13-7, 65% +789 Houston Astros Home Games: 20-12, 62% +457 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-5, 55% +250 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-5, 64% +229
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 10-10, 50% -253 Houston Astros Home Games: 18-14, 56% -30 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-6, 45% -255 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-6, 57% -56
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-10, 44% -300 Houston Astros Home Games: 16-13, 55% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
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