The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-16 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 14-16 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mike Soroka. Brandon Pfaadt has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Soroka has a 31% chance of a QS. If Brandon Pfaadt has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 74%. In Mike Soroka quality starts the Nationals win 53%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 43% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-16, 47% 164 | Record at Home | 14-16, 47% -565 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-1, 75% 349 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-3, 25% -232 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-11, 58% 761 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-9, 53% -274 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-13, 48% 310 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-14, 44% -690 | Washington Nationals |
| When Mike Soroka Starts | 1-4, 20% -255 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 7-4, 64% 214 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-5, 67% 898 | Record at Home | 6-8, 43% -377 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 185 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-5, 69% 1037 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% -196 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-5, 67% 898 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-7, 36% -507 | Washington Nationals |
| When Mike Soroka Starts | 1-3, 25% -155 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 2-3, 40% -50 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-15, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-15, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-7, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 16-14, 53% -187 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 13-17, 43% -664 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-8, 47% -210 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-9, 36% -535
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 17-13, 57% -127 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 13-17, 43% -755 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-9, 40% -533 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-8, 43% -412
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 12-16, 43% -560 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 13-11, 54% + 90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
