The Minnesota Twins are 11-6 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 5-13 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Bailey Ober is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Charlie Morton. Bailey Ober has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 33% chance of a QS. If Bailey Ober has a quality start the Twins has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 69%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Orioles win 64%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Ty France who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-13, 28% -803 | Record at Home | 11-6, 65% 153 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-0, 100% 136 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-7, 36% -331 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-4, 71% 173 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-10, 33% -503 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-6, 62% 58 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 0-6, 0% -600 | When Bailey Ober Starts | 5-2, 71% 217 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-9, 10% -807 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 273 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-0, 100% 136 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-13, 32% -757 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -637 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-7, 12% -607 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-4, 69% 178 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Bailey Ober Starts | 4-1, 80% 237 | Minnesota Twins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-11, 35% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-10, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-8, 11% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Ober STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 12-6, 67% +446 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 10-7, 59% +218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-2, 80% +432 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-6, 57% +111
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 12-6, 67% +363 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 10-7, 59% +10 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-2, 80% +432 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-6, 57% -97
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 13-3, 81% + 970 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-0, 100% + 800 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
