The Chicago Cubs are 20-11 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 9-22 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mike Burrows. Matthew Boyd has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Burrows has a 26% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 77%. In Mike Burrows quality starts the Pirates win 53%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 39% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-22, 29% -837 | Record at Home | 20-11, 65% 101 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -55 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 94 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-28, 28% -1363 | vs Team Under .500 | 26-10, 72% 745 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-17, 29% -485 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-8, 67% 22 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Mike Burrows Starts | 2-1, 67% 215 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 6-6, 50% -218 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -85 | Record at Home | 8-1, 89% 225 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -207 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-3, 62% 50 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-5, 38% 15 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-1, 89% 225 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Mike Burrows Starts | 2-1, 67% 215 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 3-1, 75% 50 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-19, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-15, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mike Burrows STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-10, 68% +1076 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 16-15, 52% -520 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-3, 67% +331 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-3, 67% -99
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-10, 68% +329 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 21-10, 68% +220 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-3, 67% +37 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-1, 89% +225
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 15-10, 60% + 400 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 13-14, 48% -240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
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