The New York Mets are 24-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 12-10 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Tylor Megill has a 51% chance of a QS and Drew Rasmussen a 48% chance. If Tylor Megill has a quality start the Mets has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 56%. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-10, 55% 413 | Record at Home | 24-7, 77% 806 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-16, 54% 373 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-11, 65% 668 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 11-8, 58% 545 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-5, 81% 790 | New York Mets |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 6-6, 50% -142 | When Tylor Megill Starts | 5-7, 42% -267 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-4, 50% 8 | Record at Home | 7-2, 78% 120 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-4, 71% 557 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-2, 33% -90 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-1, 88% 220 | New York Mets |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 4-0, 100% 290 | When Tylor Megill Starts | 2-2, 50% -40 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-13, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-18, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 3-9, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tylor Megill STARTS | 8-4, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 15-7, 68% +948 New York Mets Home Games: 15-16, 48% -617 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-2, 75% +399 New York Mets Home Games: 6-3, 67% -71
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 11-11, 50% -294 New York Mets Home Games: 16-15, 52% -615 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-4, 50% -103 New York Mets Home Games: 6-3, 67% -71
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 9-11, 45% -310 New York Mets Home Games: 12-13, 48% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 New York Mets Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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