The Philadelphia Phillies are 19-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 11-16 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis. Cristopher Sanchez has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bowden Francis has a 28% chance of a QS. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 69%. In Bowden Francis quality starts the Blue Jays win 62%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-16, 41% -320 | Record at Home | 19-12, 61% -47 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-1, 50% -2 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% -32 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-20, 38% -806 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-16, 47% -550 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-11, 48% 103 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-12, 56% -457 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Bowden Francis Starts | 5-9, 36% -434 | When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 10-1, 91% 494 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-4, 33% -172 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% -80 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-1, 50% -2 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% -32 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-7, 22% -484 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-4, 20% -332 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -72 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -266 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Bowden Francis Starts | 2-3, 40% -84 | When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 4-0, 100% 221 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-17, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-15, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-5, 17% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bowden Francis STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS | 7-4, 64% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 13-14, 48% -239 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 18-13, 58% -196 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% +114 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-4, 56% -80
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 12-15, 44% -508 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 19-12, 61% -47 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% +114 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-4, 56% -80
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 12-13, 48% -230 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-17, 32% -1070 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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