The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 20-24 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Matt Waldron. Zack Wheeler has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Waldron has a 40% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 71%. In Matt Waldron quality starts the Padres win 54%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 49% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-24, 45% -190 | Record at Home | 26-14, 65% 239 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-30, 35% -1143 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-22, 49% -658 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-15, 50% 391 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-14, 61% -171 | San Diego Padres |
| When Matt Waldron Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 11-5, 69% 92 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-10, 41% -7 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 86 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% 157 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-12, 43% -581 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-8, 47% 193 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-4, 64% 86 | San Diego Padres |
| When Matt Waldron Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 3-1, 75% 72 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-23, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-18, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matt Waldron STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 27-17, 61% +1012 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 25-15, 62% +90 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 11-6, 65% +738 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +86
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 27-17, 61% +436 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 26-14, 65% +239 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 11-6, 65% +275 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +86
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 21-14, 60% + 560 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 11-21, 34% -1210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-2, 83% + 780 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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