July 01, 2025 12:24 PM EST

Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/1/2025

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 27-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Athletics who are 19-25 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Shane Baz is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs. Shane Baz has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jeffrey Springs has a 45% chance of a QS. If Shane Baz has a quality start the Rays has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 69%. In Jeffrey Springs quality starts the Athletics win 59%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-25, 43% -360Record at Home27-23, 54% -231Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Athletics0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better13-34, 28% -1667vs Team Under .50023-23, 50% -566Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog12-24, 33% -767Record As Home Favorite23-16, 59% 49Tampa Bay Rays
When Jeffrey Springs Starts7-10, 41% -161When Shane Baz Starts13-3, 81% 892Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -64Record at Home9-4, 69% 252Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Athletics0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -290vs Team Under .5006-0, 100% 665Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog5-8, 38% -64Record As Home Favorite9-4, 69% 252Tampa Bay Rays
When Jeffrey Springs Starts2-2, 50% 33When Shane Baz Starts5-0, 100% 467Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

AthleticsRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-19, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-28, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jeffrey Springs STARTS9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS9-7, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 24-20, 55% +125 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 28-22, 56% +209 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 8-5, 62% +154 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-8, 38% -439

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 26-18, 59% -254 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 30-20, 60% +334 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 8-5, 62% -74 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-6, 54% -92

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 18-21, 46% -510 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250

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