The Texas Rangers are 24-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 17-25 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Jacob deGrom is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Brandon Young (p). Jacob deGrom has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Young (p) has a 32% chance of a QS. If Jacob deGrom has a quality start the Rangers has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 72%. In Brandon Young (p) quality starts the Orioles win 57%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-25, 40% -717 | Record at Home | 24-18, 57% -136 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 1-2, 33% -124 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-1, 67% 75 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 18-25, 42% -1152 | vs Team Under .500 | 24-17, 59% 44 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-19, 42% -338 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-8, 71% 433 | Texas Rangers |
| When Brandon Young (p) Starts | 19-8, 70% 971 | When Jacob deGrom Starts | 10-5, 67% 63 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 231 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -185 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Texas Rangers | 1-2, 33% -124 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-1, 67% 75 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% 73 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% -118 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-4, 60% 348 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% -3 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Brandon Young (p) Starts | 1-1, 50% 33 | When Jacob deGrom Starts | 5-0, 100% 268 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-28, 32% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-29, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-11, 15% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-48, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Young (p) STARTS | 16-10, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jacob deGrom STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 21-21, 50% -200 Texas Rangers Home Games: 17-25, 40% -1151 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 3-10, 23% -654 Texas Rangers Home Games: 1-9, 10% -838
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 23-19, 55% -94 Texas Rangers Home Games: 23-19, 55% -385 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-9, 31% -635 Texas Rangers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -403
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 30-10, 75% + 1900 Texas Rangers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-4, 69% + 460 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
