July 01, 2025 12:24 PM EST

Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox 7/1/2025

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The Cincinnati Reds are 20-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 23-19 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Brady Singer is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Richard Fitts. Brady Singer has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Richard Fitts has a 27% chance of a QS. If Brady Singer has a quality start the Reds has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 61%. In Richard Fitts quality starts the Red Sox win 64%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 82% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-21, 49% 64Record at Home23-19, 55% 34Cincinnati Reds
VS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50023-17, 58% 348vs Team .500 or Better21-22, 49% 10Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog14-15, 48% 215Record As Home Favorite16-16, 50% -481Cincinnati Reds
When Brady Singer Starts9-7, 56% 244When Richard Fitts Starts2-5, 29% -331Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 129Record at Home7-5, 58% 224Boston Red Sox
VS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% 223vs Team .500 or Better10-11, 48% 4Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% 43Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -172Cincinnati Reds
When Brady Singer Starts2-3, 40% -31When Richard Fitts Starts0-2, 0% -200Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-22, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-24, 41% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-42, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-42, 45% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brady Singer STARTS5-10, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Richard Fitts STARTS2-5, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 21-20, 51% -377 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 23-19, 55% +508 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-5, 50% -54 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-4, 67% +490

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-18, 56% -35 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 22-20, 52% -252 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-6, 40% -304 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 6-6, 50% -50

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1020 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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