July 01, 2025 12:24 PM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals 7/1/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Detroit Tigers are 22-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 16-24 at home. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Jack Flaherty has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 31% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 63%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 67%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 49% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 74% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-18, 55% 22Record at Home16-24, 40% -393Detroit Tigers
VS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50033-15, 69% 753vs Team .500 or Better18-28, 39% -178Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite12-8, 60% -69Record as Home Underdog15-16, 48% 346Washington Nationals
When Jack Flaherty Starts8-11, 42% -531When Trevor Williams Starts6-10, 38% -195Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -23Record at Home3-10, 23% -717Detroit Tigers
VS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-4, 64% 24vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -412Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -154Record as Home Underdog2-4, 33% -178Detroit Tigers
When Jack Flaherty Starts3-4, 43% -220When Trevor Williams Starts1-4, 20% -339Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-15, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-20, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS7-9, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 24-16, 60% +366 Washington Nationals Home Games: 20-20, 50% +241 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% +169 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -46

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 23-17, 58% -107 Washington Nationals Home Games: 17-23, 42% -1040 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -72 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-8, 38% -476

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 Washington Nationals Home Games: 18-12, 60% + 480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW