July 01, 2025 12:24 PM EST

Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners 7/1/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 20-19 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 19-20 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Emerson Hancock is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Lorenzen. Emerson Hancock has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Lorenzen has a 43% chance of a QS. If Emerson Hancock has a quality start the Mariners has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 70%. In Michael Lorenzen quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-20, 49% 169Record at Home20-19, 51% -392Kansas City Royals
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better17-28, 38% -675vs Team Under .50029-20, 59% 254Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog16-13, 55% 649Record As Home Favorite16-16, 50% -526Kansas City Royals
When Michael Lorenzen Starts8-8, 50% 5When Emerson Hancock Starts7-7, 50% 28Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 324Record at Home5-5, 50% -128Kansas City Royals
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-7, 22% -487vs Team Under .5006-2, 75% 289Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog5-1, 83% 481Record As Home Favorite5-4, 56% -28Kansas City Royals
When Michael Lorenzen Starts3-2, 60% 133When Emerson Hancock Starts1-4, 20% -313Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-23, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-16, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-44, 42% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS6-10, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Emerson Hancock STARTS9-5, 64% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 20-19, 51% +808 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 16-23, 41% -771 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% +99 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-5, 50% -27

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 19-20, 49% -456 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 19-20, 49% -556 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -355 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% +55

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-12, 65% + 880 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-12, 67% + 1080 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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