The Seattle Mariners are 20-19 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 19-20 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Emerson Hancock is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Lorenzen. Emerson Hancock has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Lorenzen has a 43% chance of a QS. If Emerson Hancock has a quality start the Mariners has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 70%. In Michael Lorenzen quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 19-20, 49% 169 | Record at Home | 20-19, 51% -392 | Kansas City Royals |
VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 17-28, 38% -675 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-20, 59% 254 | Seattle Mariners |
Record As Road Underdog | 16-13, 55% 649 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-16, 50% -526 | Kansas City Royals |
When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 8-8, 50% 5 | When Emerson Hancock Starts | 7-7, 50% 28 | Seattle Mariners |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 324 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -128 | Kansas City Royals |
VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 2-7, 22% -487 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-2, 75% 289 | Seattle Mariners |
Record As Road Underdog | 5-1, 83% 481 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -28 | Kansas City Royals |
When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 3-2, 60% 133 | When Emerson Hancock Starts | 1-4, 20% -313 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-23, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-16, 56% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-7, 22% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 6-10, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Emerson Hancock STARTS | 9-5, 64% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 20-19, 51% +808 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 16-23, 41% -771 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% +99 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-5, 50% -27
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 19-20, 49% -456 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 19-20, 49% -556 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -355 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% +55
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-12, 65% + 880 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-12, 67% + 1080 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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