The Miami Marlins are 17-24 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 19-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Joe Ryan is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Edward Cabrera. Joe Ryan has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Edward Cabrera has a 46% chance of a QS. If Joe Ryan has a quality start the Twins has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 58%. In Edward Cabrera quality starts the Marlins win 66%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Sanchez who averaged 1.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 19-26, 42% -907 | Record at Home | 17-24, 41% -321 | Miami Marlins |
VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 25-16, 61% 388 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-31, 40% 157 | Minnesota Twins |
Record as Road Favorite | 9-5, 64% 87 | Record as Home Underdog | 15-21, 42% -168 | Minnesota Twins |
When Joe Ryan Starts | 8-8, 50% -193 | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 7-5, 58% 371 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -543 | Record at Home | 3-8, 27% -403 | Miami Marlins |
VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 4-14, 22% -1082 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 184 | Miami Marlins |
Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 68 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -203 | Minnesota Twins |
When Joe Ryan Starts | 3-3, 50% -105 | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 2-1, 67% 180 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
---|
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-24, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-23, 44% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-9, 18% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Joe Ryan STARTS | 4-11, 27% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edward Cabrera STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 27-18, 60% +464 Miami Marlins Home Games: 22-19, 54% +155 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-6, 57% +112 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-5, 55% +208
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 32-13, 71% +1167 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-18, 56% -240 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 10-4, 71% +263 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-5, 55% -99
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 Miami Marlins Home Games: 19-18, 51% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game