The Pittsburgh Pirates are 23-21 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 21-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Paul Skenes is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Andre Pallante. Paul Skenes has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andre Pallante has a 48% chance of a QS. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 56%. In Andre Pallante quality starts the Cardinals win 66%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-21, 50% -13 | Record at Home | 23-21, 52% 347 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-2, 67% 149 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-4, 33% -197 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-15, 61% 578 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-38, 39% -589 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-16, 43% -201 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-9, 47% -288 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Andre Pallante Starts | 9-7, 56% 210 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 7-10, 41% -310 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 159 | Record at Home | 10-5, 67% 564 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-11, 39% -448 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-1, 75% 264 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -60 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Andre Pallante Starts | 2-3, 40% -126 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 2-3, 40% -118 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-19, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-21, 49% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Andre Pallante STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 21-21, 50% -135 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 21-23, 48% -127 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-8, 27% -506 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-7, 53% +118
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 24-18, 57% +88 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-25, 43% -967 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-5, 55% -73 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-9, 40% -399
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 13-21, 38% -1010 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 16-21, 43% -710 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590
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