The Tampa Bay Rays are 27-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Athletics who are 19-25 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter JP Sears. Ryan Pepiot has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while JP Sears has a 36% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 71%. In JP Sears quality starts the Athletics win 54%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 45% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Athletics | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-25, 43% -360 | Record at Home | 27-23, 54% -231 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-34, 28% -1667 | vs Team Under .500 | 23-23, 50% -566 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-24, 33% -767 | Record As Home Favorite | 23-16, 59% 49 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Mitch Spence Starts | 7-8, 47% -23 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 7-11, 39% -537 | Athletics |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Athletics | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% 36 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 252 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -193 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-0, 100% 665 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-7, 42% 36 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-4, 69% 252 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Mitch Spence Starts | 2-3, 40% -12 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 3-2, 60% 21 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Athletics | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-19, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-28, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Spence STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 24-20, 55% +125 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 28-22, 56% +209 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 7-5, 58% +115 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-8, 38% -439
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 26-18, 59% -254 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 30-20, 60% +334 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 7-5, 58% -113 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-6, 54% -92
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 18-21, 46% -510 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250
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