The Chicago Cubs are 32-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 25-25 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Seth Lugo. Matthew Boyd has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Seth Lugo has a 42% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 72%. In Seth Lugo quality starts the Royals win 54%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 25-25, 50% 311 | Record at Home | 32-18, 64% 99 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 118 | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-35, 44% -317 | vs Team Under .500 | 24-8, 75% 610 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 21-16, 57% 912 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-13, 68% 220 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 9-9, 50% -27 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 11-8, 58% -66 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 42 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 26 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 118 | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -142 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-7, 59% 68 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 263 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-2, 78% 226 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 3-2, 60% 116 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 4-0, 100% 311 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-28, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-24, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 6-12, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 25-25, 50% +675 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-22, 56% -522 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-6, 50% +256 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% +26
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-26, 48% -662 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 33-17, 66% +218 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -113 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% +26
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-18, 59% + 620 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 16-27, 37% -1370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
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