The Miami Marlins are 18-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 20-27 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Eury Perez is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter David Festa. Eury Perez has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Festa has a 32% chance of a QS. If Eury Perez has a quality start the Marlins has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 60%. In David Festa quality starts the Twins win 70%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Sanchez who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-27, 43% -926 | Record at Home | 18-25, 42% -294 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-1, 50% -19 | VS Minnesota Twins | 1-1, 50% 27 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 26-17, 60% 369 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-31, 40% 157 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 10-6, 62% 68 | Record as Home Underdog | 16-22, 42% -141 | Minnesota Twins |
| When David Festa Starts | 4-4, 50% -111 | When Eury Perez Starts | 2-2, 50% 91 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -524 | Record at Home | 4-7, 36% -176 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-1, 50% -19 | VS Minnesota Twins | 1-1, 50% 27 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-15, 25% -1101 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-4, 69% 798 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% -13 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-6, 40% -76 | Minnesota Twins |
| When David Festa Starts | 2-3, 40% -133 | When Eury Perez Starts | 2-2, 50% 91 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-26, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-25, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-10, 9% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN David Festa STARTS | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Eury Perez STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 28-19, 60% +491 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-20, 53% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-6, 57% +169 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-6, 45% -12
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 32-15, 68% +967 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-20, 53% -440 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-6, 57% -69 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-6, 45% -282
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 23-13, 64% + 870 Miami Marlins Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580
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