The Detroit Tigers are 30-14 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 21-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Keider Montero has a 44% chance of a QS and Shane Baz a 44% chance. If Keider Montero has a quality start the Tigers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 60%. If Shane Baz has a quality start the Rays has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-16, 57% 773 | Record at Home | 30-14, 68% 684 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 63 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2, 33% -105 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-17, 59% 831 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-17, 56% 184 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-6, 33% -374 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-2, 71% 383 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 13-4, 76% 792 | When Keider Montero Starts | 4-3, 57% 113 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 360 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -91 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 63 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2, 33% -105 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -253 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -138 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-4, 33% -242 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 15 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 4-1, 80% 290 | When Keider Montero Starts | 1-1, 50% 15 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-20, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-26, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-7, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Keider Montero STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 25-12, 68% +1149 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-21, 52% +7 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 10-5, 67% +201 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -17
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 19-18, 51% -259 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-15, 66% +425 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-7, 53% +35 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-6, 57% -80
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 20-19, 51% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170
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