The Minnesota Twins are 30-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 27-27 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Jose Urena is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Ryan Bergert. Jose Urena has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Bergert has a 38% chance of a QS. If Jose Urena has a quality start the Twins has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 67%. In Ryan Bergert quality starts the Royals win 67%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-27, 50% 367 | Record at Home | 30-24, 56% -49 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 4-3, 57% 48 | VS Kansas City Royals | 3-4, 43% -63 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-20, 62% 752 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-40, 38% -1636 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-18, 56% 968 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-21, 54% -311 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Ryan Bergert Starts | 6-1, 86% 675 | When Jose Urena Starts | 1-3, 25% -160 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-4, 50% 53 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% -200 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-1, 67% 55 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -424 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 174 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Ryan Bergert Starts | 2-0, 100% 237 | When Jose Urena Starts | 0-0 No Games | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-30, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-27, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Bergert STARTS | 1-6, 14% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Urena STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-28, 48% +444 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-25, 54% +241 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -147 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -123
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-28, 48% -753 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-25, 54% -162 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-4, 50% -80 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -200
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 28-20, 58% + 600 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 25-19, 57% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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