The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 30-35 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Jacob Misiorowski has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 16% chance of a QS. If Jacob Misiorowski has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 62%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 67%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Jacob Misiorowski who averaged 3.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 30-35, 46% -619 | Record at Home | 44-22, 67% 1219 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-2, 50% -61 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-2, 50% -27 | Milwaukee Brewers |
vs Team .500 or Better | 26-34, 43% -916 | vs Team .500 or Better | 37-21, 64% 1604 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 18-18, 50% 266 | Record As Home Favorite | 32-13, 71% 868 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 14-13, 52% -47 | When Jacob Misiorowski Starts | 7-3, 70% 350 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-10, 33% -519 | Record at Home | 11-3, 79% 463 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 55 | Milwaukee Brewers |
vs Team .500 or Better | 3-8, 27% -516 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-4, 69% 316 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -353 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-3, 77% 368 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 3-2, 60% 16 | When Jacob Misiorowski Starts | 3-1, 75% 121 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 30-32, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-34, 48% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-4, 71% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 14-11, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jacob Misiorowski STARTS | 6-3, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 32-33, 49% -866 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 30-36, 45% -892 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-10, 33% -495 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-8, 43% -351
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 35-30, 54% -106 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 36-30, 55% -499 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-7, 53% -35 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +107
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 30-24, 56% + 360 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 27-33, 45% -930 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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