August 26, 2025 6:06 AM EST

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers 8/26/2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 30-35 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Jacob Misiorowski has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 16% chance of a QS. If Jacob Misiorowski has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 62%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 67%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Jacob Misiorowski who averaged 3.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-35, 46% -619Record at Home44-22, 67% 1219Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers2-2, 50% -61VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-2, 50% -27Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better26-34, 43% -916vs Team .500 or Better37-21, 64% 1604Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog18-18, 50% 266Record As Home Favorite32-13, 71% 868Milwaukee Brewers
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts14-13, 52% -47When Jacob Misiorowski Starts7-3, 70% 350Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-10, 33% -519Record at Home11-3, 79% 463Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-0, 100% 55Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better3-8, 27% -516vs Team .500 or Better9-4, 69% 316Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog3-7, 30% -353Record As Home Favorite10-3, 77% 368Milwaukee Brewers
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts3-2, 60% 16When Jacob Misiorowski Starts3-1, 75% 121Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-32, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-34, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-9, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-4, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-34, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS14-11, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jacob Misiorowski STARTS6-3, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 32-33, 49% -866 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 30-36, 45% -892 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-10, 33% -495 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-8, 43% -351

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 35-30, 54% -106 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 36-30, 55% -499 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-7, 53% -35 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +107

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 30-24, 56% + 360 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 27-33, 45% -930 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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