The Atlanta Braves are 26-39 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 31-35 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Sandy Alcantara has a 27% chance of a QS and Hurston Waldrep a 32% chance. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 51%. If Hurston Waldrep has a quality start the Braves has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Sandy Alcantara who averaged 3.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Hurston Waldrep who averaged 3.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 83% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-39, 40% -1568 | Record at Home | 31-35, 47% 15 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 6-5, 55% -47 | VS Atlanta Braves | 5-6, 45% -3 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-36, 47% -1317 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-36, 42% 6 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-20, 43% -933 | Record as Home Underdog | 26-26, 50% 526 | Miami Marlins |
| When Hurston Waldrep Starts | 3-0, 100% 233 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 12-14, 46% -100 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 299 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% 92 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Miami Marlins | 4-2, 67% 148 | VS Atlanta Braves | 2-4, 33% -223 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 14-8, 64% 616 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -93 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 137 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-2, 71% 326 | Miami Marlins |
| When Hurston Waldrep Starts | 3-0, 100% 233 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 2-3, 40% -81 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 31-29, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 30-36, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hurston Waldrep STARTS | 0-3, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 13-13, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 22-43, 34% -2560 Miami Marlins Home Games: 37-29, 56% +666 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-10, 29% -580 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -137
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 30-35, 46% -1310 Miami Marlins Home Games: 34-32, 52% -630 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-9, 36% -539 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-9, 31% -600
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 19-35, 35% -1950 Miami Marlins Home Games: 30-30, 50% -300 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-8, 20% -680 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580
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