The Chicago White Sox are 28-38 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 31-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Martin Perez has a 44% chance of a QS and Michael Lorenzen a 42% chance. If Martin Perez has a quality start the White Sox has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 61%. If Michael Lorenzen has a quality start the Royals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Mike Tauchman who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 31-34, 48% 114 | Record at Home | 28-38, 42% 22 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Chicago White Sox | 8-3, 73% 111 | VS Kansas City Royals | 3-8, 27% -432 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 48-30, 62% 995 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-44, 34% -782 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-10, 33% -617 | Record as Home Underdog | 28-37, 43% 122 | Chicago White Sox |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 12-9, 57% 301 | When Martin Perez Starts | 1-5, 17% -364 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -225 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% 148 | Chicago White Sox |
| VS Chicago White Sox | 3-1, 75% 81 | VS Kansas City Royals | 1-3, 25% -190 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-5, 67% 204 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -480 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -16 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-7, 50% 148 | Chicago White Sox |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 2-0, 100% 150 | When Martin Perez Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Chicago White Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 28-34, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 35-29, 55% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-48, 40% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 8-13, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 34-31, 52% +791 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 28-38, 42% -518 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +316 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 6-8, 43% -47
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 32-33, 49% -842 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 32-34, 48% -1275 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-6, 54% -120 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-7, 50% -206
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 33-25, 57% + 550 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 28-24, 54% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
