The New York Mets are 42-24 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 34-33 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Sean Manaea is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo. Sean Manaea has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jesus Luzardo has a 23% chance of a QS. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Mets has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 58%. In Jesus Luzardo quality starts the Phillies win 68%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Sean Manaea who averaged 3.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 65% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Jesus Luzardo who averaged 3.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-33, 51% -815 | Record at Home | 42-24, 64% 425 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 2-5, 29% -371 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 5-2, 71% 300 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-25, 52% -532 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-24, 52% 42 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 27-24, 53% -732 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-5, 58% 249 | New York Mets |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 15-11, 58% -31 | When Sean Manaea Starts | 1-6, 14% -547 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% -289 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -372 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS New York Mets | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 108 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-8, 53% -212 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -448 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-8, 38% -505 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-0, 100% 307 | New York Mets |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 4-1, 80% 183 | When Sean Manaea Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-40, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-31, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 16-9, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS | 6-1, 86% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 32-35, 48% -747 New York Mets Home Games: 29-37, 44% -1458 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-9, 40% -76 New York Mets Home Games: 4-9, 31% -485
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 36-31, 54% -599 New York Mets Home Games: 33-33, 50% -1241 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-7, 53% -51 New York Mets Home Games: 3-10, 23% -775
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 28-26, 52% -60 New York Mets Home Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 New York Mets Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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