The St. Louis Cardinals are 35-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 18-45 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Andre Pallante is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mitch Keller. Andre Pallante has a 28% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 20% chance of a QS. If Andre Pallante has a quality start the Cardinals has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 72%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 64%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Andre Pallante who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Mitch Keller who averaged 3.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 49% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-45, 29% -1857 | Record at Home | 35-30, 54% 92 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 5-5, 50% -36 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 5-5, 50% -75 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% 8 | vs Team .500 or Better | 30-40, 43% -753 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-37, 29% -1266 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-16, 54% -293 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Mitch Keller Starts | 10-16, 38% -632 | When Andre Pallante Starts | 10-15, 40% -507 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -148 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -468 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-0, 100% 76 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-7, 61% 245 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -53 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -9 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -295 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-2, 60% 64 | When Andre Pallante Starts | 1-4, 20% -317 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-37, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-29, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 11-14, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andre Pallante STARTS | 11-12, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 38-25, 60% +1147 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 32-33, 49% -408 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% +77 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-8, 43% -311
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 42-21, 67% +523 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 38-27, 58% +281 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% -198 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -199
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 28-26, 52% -60 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 31-26, 54% + 240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40
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