The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-34 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 31-32 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Shane Baz is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Parker Messick ®. Shane Baz has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Parker Messick ® has a 35% chance of a QS. If Shane Baz has a quality start the Rays has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 60%. In Parker Messick ® quality starts the Guardians win 69%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Carson Williams who averaged 4.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-34, 47% -145 | Record at Home | 31-32, 49% -853 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-28, 55% -118 | vs Team .500 or Better | 27-37, 42% -676 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-25, 50% 372 | Record As Home Favorite | 24-17, 59% -99 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 14-11, 56% 176 | When Parker Messick ® Starts | 28-16, 64% 1042 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-10, 44% -240 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -316 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 235 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-10, 55% 76 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-9, 40% -297 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-6, 50% -216 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 1-4, 20% -316 | When Parker Messick ® Starts | 7-4, 64% 306 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 28-33, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-29, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-6, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS | 11-13, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Parker Messick ® STARTS | 23-19, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 41-23, 64% +1300 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 33-30, 52% +14 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 11-7, 61% +59 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-8, 38% -285
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 37-27, 58% +294 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 40-23, 63% +723 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 13-5, 72% +547 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-6, 54% -67
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 25-25, 50% -250 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 27-25, 52% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470
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