The New York Yankees are 39-28 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 27-39 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Luis Gil is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore. Luis Gil has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while MacKenzie Gore has a 32% chance of a QS. If Luis Gil has a quality start the Yankees has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 69%. In MacKenzie Gore quality starts the Nationals win 58%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 41% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-39, 41% -152 | Record at Home | 39-28, 58% -395 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 41 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 25-44, 36% -890 | vs Team Under .500 | 41-28, 59% -231 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-36, 41% -6 | Record As Home Favorite | 36-25, 59% -393 | Washington Nationals |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 9-15, 38% -489 | When Luis Gil Starts | 2-2, 50% -31 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% 107 | Record at Home | 9-7, 56% -89 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 41 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -492 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-9, 59% 6 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-8, 43% 107 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-5, 58% -94 | Washington Nationals |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-2, 50% 55 | When Luis Gil Starts | 2-2, 50% -31 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-29, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-34, 48% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 12-11, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Gil STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 36-30, 55% +134 New York Yankees Home Games: 35-32, 52% -251 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +383 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-8, 50% -126
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 39-27, 59% -384 New York Yankees Home Games: 40-27, 60% -107 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -326 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-6, 62% +140
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-36, 40% -1560 New York Yankees Home Games: 23-25, 48% -450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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