The Pittsburgh Pirates are 42-34 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 40-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Paul Skenes has a 59% chance of a QS and Cade Horton a 56% chance. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 46%. If Cade Horton has a quality start the Cubs has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Tommy Pham who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 71% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 40-35, 53% 98 | Record at Home | 42-34, 55% 796 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 8-3, 73% 218 | VS Chicago Cubs | 3-8, 27% -394 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 50-25, 67% 658 | vs Team .500 or Better | 37-53, 41% -468 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-17, 45% 15 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-15, 50% -493 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Cade Horton Starts | 10-6, 62% 85 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 15-15, 50% -244 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 107 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 252 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-0, 100% 132 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-2, 0% -200 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 17-7, 71% 507 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% 154 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-0, 100% 143 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Cade Horton Starts | 3-1, 75% 101 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 4-1, 80% 214 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-37, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-39, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cade Horton STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS | 10-17, 37% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 38-37, 51% -1017 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 36-40, 47% -227 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-6, 54% -178 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-9, 31% -481
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 43-32, 57% +117 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 40-36, 53% -414 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-3, 77% +471 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% -19
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 40-22, 65% + 1580 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-32, 50% -320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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